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Home - Pulmonology - The Limited Prognostic Power of Stress Tests in Microvascular Heart Disease

Pulmonology

The Limited Prognostic Power of Stress Tests in Microvascular Heart Disease

Last updated: February 15, 2026 6:10 am
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The Limited Prognostic Power of Stress Tests in Microvascular Heart Disease

A new study challenges the prognostic value of exercise electrocardiography (ex-ECG) for patients with suspected coronary microvascular dysfunction (CMD). In a cohort of 760 patients where significant epicardial coronary artery disease was ruled out, abnormal ST-segment changes on a stress test were initially linked to a higher rate of major adverse cardiac events. However, after adjusting for factors like age, sex, and exercise capacity, this association disappeared. The research concludes that while reduced exercise capacity remains an independent risk factor, ischemic ECG changes alone offer poor sensitivity and a low positive predictive value for forecasting future cardiac events in this specific patient population.

Why it might matter to you: For pulmonologists managing patients with overlapping cardiopulmonary symptoms like dyspnea, this study refines the interpretation of common diagnostic tests. It underscores that abnormal exercise ECG findings in patients with chest pain may not reliably predict cardiovascular risk when microvascular disease is the suspected culprit. This insight can guide more nuanced patient counseling and steer diagnostic workups toward functional assessments like cardiopulmonary exercise testing, which directly measures gas exchange and ventilatory efficiency, rather than relying solely on ECG tracings.

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